AMZN logo
Amazon.com Inc.
AMZN
188.99 (1.43%) 2.69
2.01(T)
Consumer Discretionary
Broadline Retail
Amazon.com Inc. engages in the retail sale of consumer products advertising and subscriptions service through online and physical stores in North America and internationally. The company operates through three segments: North America International and Amazon Web Services (AWS). It also manufactures and sells electronic devices including Kindle fire tablets fire TVs echo ring blink and eero; and develops and produces media content. In addition the company offers programs that enable sellers to sell their products in its stores; and programs that allow authors independent publishers musicians filmmakers Twitch streamers skill and app developers and others to publish and sell content. Further it provides compute storage database analytics machine learning and other services as well as advertising services through programs such as sponsored ads display and video advertising. Additionally the company offers Amazon Prime a membership program. The company’s products offered through its stores include merchandise and content purchased for resale and products offered by third-party sellers. It serves consumers sellers developers enterprises content creators advertisers and employees. Amazon.com Inc. was incorporated in 1994 and is headquartered in Seattle Washington.
My Holdings:
Shares:
Cost basis:

Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN) price target and intrinsic value estimate

AMZN's fair price estimate is $215.5

This valuation is based on a fair P/E of 23.2 and EPS estimates of $9.29

The median analyst price target for AMZN is $253.0.

Analyst price targets range from $200.0 to $306.0

Is AMZN overvalued or undervalued?

AMZN is currently trading at $188.99

AMZN is undervalued by 14% using the pevaluation method.

AMZN is undervalued by 34% compared to median analyst price targets.

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Valuation

PEvaluation

14% undervalued
Low
$162
Median
$216
High
$293
$189
Fair P/E
Margin of safety

Analyst Valuation

34% undervalued
Low
$200
Median
$253
High
$306
$189
Strong Buy19
Buy47
Hold4
Sell0
Strong Sell0

Discounted Cash Flow Valuation

N/A
Negative FCF or FCF estimates
Discount rateNaN%
Growth rate10.0%
Terminal rate6.0%
Shares outstan...ROICRevenue growthDebt/FCFAssets/Liabili...
Economic moat: Very wide
None/narrowMediumWideVery wide

Overview

Market data

Market cap:$2.01(T)
Enterprise value:$2.06(T)
Total Equity:$285.97(B)
Shares outstanding:10.61(B)
Div. yield:0.00%
P/S:3.10
P/E:33.39
P/FCF:60.96
P/B:7.00
EPS:$5.7
FCF per share:$3.1
Dividend per share:$0.0

Income (TTM)

RevenueGrossNet
Revenue$637.96(B)
Gross profit$311.67(B)
EBITDA$120.47(B)
Net income$59.25(B)
Gross margin48.9%
Net margin9.3%

Balance sheet

Cash & ST inv.Other ST assetsLong term assetsCurrent liabilitiesLong term debtOther LT liabilitiesEquity
Total assets$624.89(B)
Total liabilities$338.92(B)
Cash & Short-term inv.$101.20(B)
Long-term debt$59.72(B)
Debt issued$5.14(B)
Debt repaid$-16.95(B)

Cash flow (TTM)

CFOCFICFF
FCF$32.88(B)
CapEx$-83.00(B)
Dividends paid$0
Stock issued$0
Stock repurchased$0
Stock-based comp.$22.01(B)

Per Share Data

x1
Price: $189
Revenue: $60.9 (3.1x | 32.2%) Gross profit: $29.4 (6.4x | 15.5%) Earnings: $5.66 (33.4x | 3.0%)
FCF: $3.10 (61.0x | 1.6%) Stock-based Comp.: $2.07 (91.1x | 1.1%) CapEx.: $7.82 (24.2x | 4.1%) Dividend: $0.00 (N/A | 0.0%)
Total Assets: $58.9 (3.2x | 31.2%) Total Liabilities: $31.9 (5.9x | 16.9%) Book Value: $27.0 (7.0x | 14.3%) Cash & ST inv.: $9.54 (19.8x | 5.0%) Debt: $5.63 (33.6x | 3.0%)

Growth Estimates

Revenue

CAGR: 9.7%
FY+1FY+2FY+3FY+4FY+5
FY+1$695.98(B)
FY+2(+10.0%)$765.70(B)
FY+3(+9.7%)$839.74(B)
FY+4(+9.4%)$919.01(B)
FY+5(+9.5%)$1.01(T)

Net Income

CAGR: 21.2%
FY+1FY+2FY+3FY+4FY+5
FY+1$68.24(B)
FY+2(+20.4%)$82.16(B)
FY+3(+25.1%)$102.74(B)
FY+4(+18.2%)$121.42(B)
FY+5(+21.3%)$147.34(B)

EPS

CAGR: 20.5%
FY+1FY+2FY+3FY+4FY+5
FY+1$6.30
FY+2(+19.5%)$7.53
FY+3(+24.0%)$9.34
FY+4(+17.2%)$10.95
FY+5(+21.2%)$13.27

FCF per share

CAGR: 18.2%
FY+1FY+2FY+3FY+4FY+5
FY+1$14.35
FY+2(+16.7%)$16.75
FY+3(+14.4%)$19.17
FY+4(+12.6%)$21.59
FY+5(+29.8%)$28.02

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Historical Financials

Showing limited histrical data. Access 10+ years of financials now! Upgrade
YearlyQuarterly
Income
FY2005FY2006FY2007FY2008FY2009FY2010FY2011FY2012FY2013FY2014FY2015FY2016FY2017FY2018FY2019FY2020FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024
FY2005FY2006FY2007FY2008FY2009FY2010FY2011FY2012FY2013FY2014FY2015FY2016FY2017FY2018FY2019FY2020FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024TTM5Y avg5Y CAGR
Revenue386.06(B)469.82(B)513.98(B)574.78(B)637.96(B)637.96(B)516.52(B)13%
COGS334.56(B)403.51(B)446.34(B)480.98(B)513.34(B)513.34(B)435.75(B)11%
Gross Profit51.50(B)66.31(B)67.64(B)93.81(B)124.62(B)124.62(B)80.78(B)25%
Total OpEx.28.60(B)41.44(B)55.39(B)56.95(B)56.03(B)56.03(B)47.68(B)18%
  R&D0.000.000.000.000.000.000.00N/A%
  SG&A28.68(B)41.37(B)54.13(B)56.19(B)55.27(B)55.27(B)47.13(B)18%
Operating Income22.90(B)24.88(B)12.25(B)36.85(B)68.59(B)68.59(B)33.09(B)32%
Interest Expense-1.65(B)-1.81(B)-2.37(B)-3.18(B)-2.41(B)-2.41(B)-2.28(B)10%
Interest Income555.00(M)448.00(M)989.00(M)2.95(B)4.68(B)4.68(B)1.92(B)70%
Pre-tax income24.18(B)38.15(B)-5.94(B)37.56(B)68.61(B)68.61(B)32.51(B)30%
Income tax-2.86(B)-4.79(B)3.22(B)-7.12(B)-9.27(B)-9.27(B)-4.16(B)34%
Net Income21.33(B)33.36(B)-2.72(B)30.43(B)59.25(B)59.25(B)28.33(B)29%
Cash flow
FY2005FY2006FY2007FY2008FY2009FY2010FY2011FY2012FY2013FY2014FY2015FY2016FY2017FY2018FY2019FY2020FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024
FY2005FY2006FY2007FY2008FY2009FY2010FY2011FY2012FY2013FY2014FY2015FY2016FY2017FY2018FY2019FY2020FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024TTM5Y avg5Y CAGR
CFO66.06(B)46.33(B)46.75(B)84.95(B)115.88(B)115.88(B)71.99(B)15%
  Net Income21.33(B)33.36(B)-2.72(B)30.43(B)59.25(B)59.25(B)28.33(B)29%
  D&A25.18(B)34.43(B)41.92(B)48.66(B)52.80(B)52.80(B)40.60(B)20%
  Stock-based Comp.9.21(B)12.76(B)19.62(B)24.02(B)22.01(B)22.01(B)17.52(B)24%
  FCF31.02(B)-9.07(B)-11.57(B)36.81(B)38.22(B)38.22(B)17.08(B)5%
CFF-1.10(B)6.29(B)9.72(B)-15.88(B)-11.81(B)-11.81(B)-2.56(B)81%
  Stock Issued0.000.000.000.000.000.000.00N/A%
  Stock Repurchased0.000.00-6.00(B)0.000.000.00-1.20(B)N/A%
  Debt Issued17.32(B)26.96(B)62.72(B)18.13(B)5.14(B)5.14(B)26.05(B)-26%
  Debt Repaid-18.43(B)-20.67(B)-47.00(B)-34.01(B)-16.95(B)-16.95(B)-27.41(B)-2%
  Dividend Paid0.000.000.000.000.000.000.00N/A%
CFI-59.61(B)-58.15(B)-37.60(B)-49.83(B)-94.34(B)-94.34(B)-59.91(B)12%
  Acquisitions-2.33(B)-1.99(B)-8.32(B)-5.84(B)-7.08(B)-7.08(B)-5.11(B)32%
  Divestitures0.000.000.000.000.000.000.00N/A%
  Capital Expenditures-35.04(B)-55.40(B)-58.32(B)-48.13(B)-77.66(B)-77.66(B)-54.91(B)22%
Balance sheet
FY2005FY2006FY2007FY2008FY2009FY2010FY2011FY2012FY2013FY2014FY2015FY2016FY2017FY2018FY2019FY2020FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024
FY2005FY2006FY2007FY2008FY2009FY2010FY2011FY2012FY2013FY2014FY2015FY2016FY2017FY2018FY2019FY2020FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024TTM5Y avg5Y CAGR
Total Assets321.19(B)420.55(B)462.68(B)527.85(B)624.89(B)624.89(B)471.43(B)18%
  Current assets132.73(B)161.58(B)146.79(B)172.35(B)190.87(B)190.87(B)160.86(B)10%
    Cash and Equivalents42.12(B)36.22(B)53.89(B)73.39(B)78.78(B)78.78(B)56.88(B)17%
    Short-term investments42.27(B)59.83(B)16.14(B)13.39(B)22.42(B)22.42(B)30.81(B)-15%
    Inventories23.80(B)32.64(B)34.41(B)33.32(B)34.21(B)34.21(B)31.67(B)10%
    Receivables24.54(B)32.89(B)42.36(B)52.25(B)55.45(B)55.45(B)41.50(B)23%
  Non-current assets188.46(B)258.97(B)315.88(B)355.50(B)434.03(B)434.03(B)310.57(B)23%
    Net PP&E150.67(B)216.36(B)252.84(B)276.69(B)328.81(B)328.81(B)245.07(B)22%
    Goodwill15.02(B)15.37(B)20.29(B)22.79(B)23.07(B)23.07(B)19.31(B)11%
Total Liabilities227.79(B)282.30(B)316.63(B)325.98(B)338.92(B)338.92(B)298.33(B)10%
  Current liabilities126.39(B)142.27(B)155.39(B)164.92(B)179.43(B)179.43(B)153.68(B)9%
    Accounts payable72.54(B)78.66(B)79.60(B)84.98(B)94.36(B)94.36(B)82.03(B)7%
  Non-current liabilities101.41(B)140.04(B)161.24(B)161.06(B)159.49(B)159.49(B)144.65(B)12%
    Long-Term Debt31.82(B)48.74(B)67.15(B)58.31(B)52.62(B)52.62(B)51.73(B)13%
Total Equity93.40(B)138.25(B)146.04(B)201.88(B)285.97(B)285.97(B)173.11(B)32%
Per share data
FY2015FY2016FY2017FY2018FY2019FY2020FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024
EPS (Basic)FCF/ShareDividend/ShareEPS (Diluted)Book value/ShareCash & ST inv./ShareDebt/Share
Ratios
FY2015FY2016FY2017FY2018FY2019FY2020FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024
P/EP/SEV/EarningsP/FCFP/BEV/FCFDebt/EquityPayout ratio
Margins
FY2015FY2016FY2017FY2018FY2019FY2020FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024
Net Income MarginOperating MarginGross MarginEBITDA MarginFCF Margin
Returns
FY2015FY2016FY2017FY2018FY2019FY2020FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024
ROICROAROCEROE
Shares outstanding
FY2015FY2016FY2017FY2018FY2019FY2020FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024
Shares (Basic)Shares (Diluted)
Market Cap.
FY2015FY2016FY2017FY2018FY2019FY2020FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024
Market Cap.

Calculators

Discounted Cash Flow

Forecast years
Terminal Growth Rate
Discount Rate
Free cash flow estimates:
Y+1 est.
Y+2 est.
0.00%
Y+3 est.
0.00%
Y+4 est.
0.00%
Y+5 est.
0.00%
Target price

Discounted Cash Flow (exit mult.)

Forecast years
Exit FCF Multiple
Discount Rate
Free cash flow estimates:
Y+1 est.
Y+2 est.
0.00%
Y+3 est.
0.00%
Y+4 est.
0.00%
Y+5 est.
0.00%
Target price

Future P/E valuation

Projection Years
Base Revenue
Revenue Growth Rate
Final Net Margin
Final P/E Ratio
Discount Rate
Target price

Dividend discount model

Annual Dividend
First Stage Length (Years)
First Stage Growth Rate
Final Growth Rate
Discount Rate
Target price

Graham formula

Earnings Per Share
Expected Growth Rate
Government Bond Rate
Target price

Dividend income

Investment Amount
Dividend Yield

Required investment

Dividend Yield
Yearly Payout
Quarterly Payout
Monthly Payout