Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc.
CMG 59.99 (-0.56%) 0.34
81.80(B)
Consumer Discretionary
Hotels Restaurants and Leisure
Holdings:
Shares:
Cost basis:
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. (CMG) price target and intrinsic value estimate
CMG's fair price estimate is $21.3
This valuation is based on a fair P/E of 14.6 and EPS estimates of $1.46
The median analyst price target for CMG is $68.0.
Analyst price targets range from $42.0 to $75.0
Is CMG overvalued or undervalued?
CMG is currently trading at $59.99
CMG is overvalued by 182% using the pevaluation method.
CMG is undervalued by 12% compared to median analyst price targets.
Do you agree with this valuation?
Valuation
PEvaluation
Low $16.0
Median $21.3
High $26.6
Fair P/E
Margin of safety
Analyst valuation
Low $42.0
Median $68.0
High $75.0
Discounted cash-flow
10%
5%
5y
10%
Economic moat: None/narrow
Overview
Market data
Market cap:$81.80(B)
Enterprise value:$82.28(B)
Total Equity:$3.61(B)
Shares outstanding:1.36(B)
Div. yield:0.00%
P/S:7.49
P/E:55.55
P/FCF:65.21
P/B:22.64
EPS:$1.1
FCF per share:$0.9
Dividend per share:$0.0
Income (TTM)
Revenue$10.98(B)
Gross profit$4.48(B)
EBITDA$2.23(B)
Net income$1.48(B)
Gross margin40.8%
Net margin13.5%
Balance sheet
Total assets$9.01(B)
Total liabilities$5.40(B)
Cash & Short-term inv.$1.37(B)
Long-term debt$0
Debt issued$0
Debt repaid$0
Cash flow (TTM)
FCF$1.25(B)
CapEx$-592.65(M)
Dividends paid$0
Stock issued$0
Stock repurchased$-891.53(M)
Stock-based comp.$123.36(M)
Future Growth
Revenue
CAGR: 13.2%FY+1$11.32(B)
FY+2$12.83(B)
FY+3$14.54(B)
FY+4$16.45(B)
FY+5$18.56(B)
Net Income
CAGR: 17.5%FY+1$1.53(B)
FY+2$1.79(B)
FY+3$2.13(B)
FY+4$2.50(B)
FY+5$2.92(B)
EPS
CAGR: 19.1%FY+1$1.12
FY+2$1.32
FY+3$1.57
FY+4$1.89
FY+5$2.25
FCF per share
CAGR: 18.0%FY+1$1.49
FY+2$1.76
FY+3$2.05
FY+4$2.45
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Historical Financials
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Income
RevenueNet IncomeCOGSGross ProfitTotal OpEx.R&DSG&AOperating IncomeInterest ExpenseInterest IncomePre-tax incomeIncome tax
Cash flow
FCFCFONet IncomeD&AStock-based Comp.CFFStock IssuedStock RepurchasedDebt IssuedDebt RepaidDividend PaidCFIAcquisitionsDivestituresCapital Expenditures
Balance sheet
Total AssetsTotal LiabilitiesCurrent assetsCash and EquivalentsShort-term investmentsInventoriesReceivablesNon-current assetsNet PP&EGoodwillCurrent liabilitiesAccounts payableNon-current liabilitiesLong-Term DebtTotal Equity
Shares outstanding
Shares (Basic)Shares (Diluted)
Per share data
EPS (Basic)EPS (Diluted)FCF/ShareDividend/ShareBook value/Share
Ratios
P/EP/FCFP/BP/SEV/EarningsEV/FCFDebt/EquityPayout ratio
Margins
Net Income MarginOperating MarginGross MarginEBITDA MarginFCF Margin
Returns
ROICROAROCEROE
Market Cap.
Market Cap.