Lululemon Athletica Inc.

LULU

379.42 (1.68%) 6.36

46.21(B)

Consumer Discretionary

Textiles Apparel and Luxury Goods

Lululemon Athletica Inc. together with its subsidiaries designs distributes and retails athletic apparel footwear and accessories under the lululemon brand for women and men. It offers pants shorts tops and jackets for healthy lifestyle such as yoga running training and other activities. It also provides fitness-inspired accessories. The company sells its products through a chain of company-operated stores; outlets; interactive workout platform; yoga and fitness studios university campus retailers and other partners; license and supply arrangements; and temporary locations as well as through mobile apps and lululemon.com e-commerce website. It has operations in the United States Canada Mainland China Australia South Korea Hong Kong Japan New Zealand Taiwan Singapore Malaysia Macau Thailand the Asia Pacific the United Kingdom Germany France Ireland Spain the Netherlands Sweden Norway Switzerland Europe the Middle East and Africa. Lululemon Athletica Inc. was founded in 1998 and is based in Vancouver Canada.

Holdings:

Cost basis:

Lululemon Athletica Inc. (LULU) price target and intrinsic value estimate

LULU's fair price estimate is $299.1

This valuation is based on a fair P/E of 20.9 and EPS estimates of $14.30

The median analyst price target for LULU is $385.0.

Analyst price targets range from $194.0 to $480.0

Is LULU overvalued or undervalued?

LULU is currently trading at $379.42

LULU is overvalued by 27% using the pevaluation method.

LULU is undervalued by 1% compared to median analyst price targets.

Do you agree with this valuation?

Valuation

PEvaluation

Low $224.3

Median $299.1

High $373.9

Fair P/E

Margin of safety

Analyst valuation

Low $194.0

Median $385.0

High $480.0

Strong Buy4

Buy16

Hold13

Sell2

Strong Sell1

Discounted cash-flow

TTM FCFFCF est.Growth FCFTerminal FCF

Discount rate:

10%

Terminal rate:

Growth phase length:

Growth phase rate:

10%

Economic moat: Wide

Overview

Market data

Market cap:$46.21(B)

Enterprise value:$46.53(B)

Total Equity:$3.99(B)

Shares outstanding:121.78(M)

Div. yield:0.00%

P/S:4.65

P/E:27.30

P/FCF:29.07

P/B:11.63

EPS:$13.9

FCF per share:$13.1

Dividend per share:$0.0

Income (TTM)

Revenue$10.18(B)

Gross profit$5.99(B)

EBITDA$2.80(B)

Net income$1.74(B)

Gross margin58.9%

Net margin17.1%

Balance sheet

Total assets$7.08(B)

Total liabilities$3.10(B)

Cash & Short-term inv.$1.19(B)

Long-term debt$0

Debt issued$0

Debt repaid$0

Cash flow (TTM)

FCF$1.59(B)

CapEx$-660.76(M)

Dividends paid$0

Stock issued$24.77(M)

Stock repurchased$-1.39(B)

Stock-based comp.$94.90(M)

Future Growth

Revenue

CAGR: 8.9%

FY+1$10.50(B)

FY+2$11.27(B)

FY+3$12.24(B)

FY+4$13.50(B)

FY+5$14.76(B)

Net Income

CAGR: 8.1%

FY+1$1.76(B)

FY+2$1.83(B)

FY+3$1.99(B)

FY+4$2.19(B)

FY+5$2.40(B)

EPS

CAGR: 11.6%

FY+1$14.16

FY+2$15.22

FY+3$16.69

FY+4$19.35

FY+5$22.00

FCF per share

CAGR: 10.3%

FY+1$16.04

FY+2$18.05

FY+3$19.53

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Historical Financials

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YearlyQuarterly

Income

RevenueNet IncomeCOGSGross ProfitTotal OpEx.R&DSG&AOperating IncomeInterest ExpenseInterest IncomePre-tax incomeIncome tax

Cash flow

FCFCFONet IncomeD&AStock-based Comp.CFFStock IssuedStock RepurchasedDebt IssuedDebt RepaidDividend PaidCFIAcquisitionsDivestituresCapital Expenditures

Balance sheet

Total AssetsTotal LiabilitiesCurrent assetsCash and EquivalentsShort-term investmentsInventoriesReceivablesNon-current assetsNet PP&EGoodwillCurrent liabilitiesAccounts payableNon-current liabilitiesLong-Term DebtTotal Equity

Shares outstanding

Shares (Basic)Shares (Diluted)

Per share data

EPS (Basic)EPS (Diluted)FCF/ShareDividend/ShareBook value/Share

Ratios

P/EP/FCFP/BP/SEV/EarningsEV/FCFDebt/EquityPayout ratio

Margins

Net Income MarginOperating MarginGross MarginEBITDA MarginFCF Margin

Returns

ROICROAROCEROE

Market Cap.