MSFT logo
Microsoft Corporation
MSFT
391.85 (1.14%) 4.45
2.91(T)
Information Technology
Software
Microsoft Corporation develops and supports software services devices and solutions worldwide. The Productivity and Business Processes segment offers office exchange SharePoint Microsoft Teams office 365 Security and Compliance Microsoft viva and Microsoft 365 copilot; and office consumer services such as Microsoft 365 consumer subscriptions Office licensed on-premises and other office services. This segment also provides LinkedIn; and dynamics business solutions including Dynamics 365 a set of intelligent cloud-based applications across ERP CRM power apps and power automate; and on-premises ERP and CRM applications. The Intelligent Cloud segment offers server products and cloud services such as azure and other cloud services; SQL and windows server visual studio system center and related client access licenses as well as nuance and GitHub; and enterprise services including enterprise support services industry solutions and nuance professional services. The More Personal Computing segment offers Windows including windows OEM licensing and other non-volume licensing of the Windows operating system; Windows commercial comprising volume licensing of the Windows operating system windows cloud services and other Windows commercial offerings; patent licensing; and windows Internet of Things; and devices such as surface HoloLens and PC accessories. Additionally this segment provides gaming which includes Xbox hardware and content and first- and third-party content; Xbox game pass and other subscriptions cloud gaming advertising third-party disc royalties and other cloud services; and search and news advertising which includes Bing Microsoft News and Edge and third-party affiliates. The company sells its products through OEMs distributors and resellers; and directly through digital marketplaces online and retail stores. The company was founded in 1975 and is headquartered in Redmond Washington.
My Holdings:
Shares:
Cost basis:

Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) price target and intrinsic value estimate

MSFT's fair price estimate is $496.7

This valuation is based on a fair P/E of 30.8 and EPS estimates of $16.15

The median analyst price target for MSFT is $480.0.

Analyst price targets range from $415.0 to $650.0

Is MSFT overvalued or undervalued?

MSFT is currently trading at $391.85

MSFT is undervalued by 27% using the pevaluation method.

MSFT is undervalued by 22% compared to median analyst price targets.

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Valuation

PEvaluation

27% undervalued
Low
$373
Median
$497
High
$621
$392
Fair P/E
Margin of safety

Analyst Valuation

22% undervalued
Low
$415
Median
$480
High
$650
$392
Strong Buy14
Buy40
Hold6
Sell0
Strong Sell0

Discounted Cash Flow Valuation

N/A
Negative FCF or FCF estimates
Discount rateNaN%
Growth rate10.0%
Terminal rate7.0%
Shares outstan...ROICRevenue growthDebt/FCFAssets/Liabili...
Economic moat: Very wide
None/narrowMediumWideVery wide

Overview

Market data

Market cap:$2.91(T)
Enterprise value:$2.94(T)
Total Equity:$302.69(B)
Shares outstanding:7.43(B)
Div. yield:0.81%
P/S:11.13
P/E:31.40
P/FCF:41.60
P/B:9.63
EPS:$12.5
FCF per share:$9.4
Dividend per share:$3.2

Income (TTM)

RevenueGrossNet
Revenue$261.80(B)
Gross profit$181.72(B)
EBITDA$142.04(B)
Net income$92.75(B)
Gross margin69.4%
Net margin35.4%

Balance sheet

Cash & ST inv.Other ST assetsLong term assetsCurrent liabilitiesLong term debtOther LT liabilitiesEquity
Total assets$533.90(B)
Total liabilities$231.20(B)
Cash & Short-term inv.$71.56(B)
Long-term debt$39.72(B)
Debt issued$1.60(B)
Debt repaid$-31.37(B)

Cash flow (TTM)

CFOCFICFF
FCF$70.03(B)
CapEx$-55.55(B)
Dividends paid$-22.89(B)
Stock issued$2.02(B)
Stock repurchased$-17.52(B)
Stock-based comp.$11.32(B)

Per Share Data

x1
Price: $392
Revenue: $35.2 (11.1x | 9.0%) Gross profit: $24.4 (16.0x | 6.2%) Earnings: $12.5 (31.4x | 3.2%)
FCF: $9.42 (41.6x | 2.4%) Stock-based Comp.: $1.52 (257.3x | 0.4%) CapEx.: $7.47 (52.4x | 1.9%) Dividend: $3.16 (124.0x | 0.8%)
Total Assets: $71.8 (5.5x | 18.3%) Total Liabilities: $31.1 (12.6x | 7.9%) Book Value: $40.7 (9.6x | 10.4%) Cash & ST inv.: $9.63 (40.7x | 2.5%) Debt: $5.34 (73.3x | 1.4%)

Growth Estimates

Revenue

CAGR: 12.8%
FY+1FY+2FY+3FY+4FY+5
FY+1$276.74(B)
FY+2(+13.6%)$314.27(B)
FY+3(+14.9%)$361.07(B)
FY+4(+12.3%)$405.55(B)
FY+5(+10.5%)$448.29(B)

Net Income

CAGR: 14.8%
FY+1FY+2FY+3FY+4FY+5
FY+1$98.44(B)
FY+2(+13.4%)$111.62(B)
FY+3(+16.7%)$130.29(B)
FY+4(+14.1%)$148.67(B)
FY+5(+15.0%)$171.03(B)

EPS

CAGR: 15.1%
FY+1FY+2FY+3FY+4FY+5
FY+1$13.16
FY+2(+13.8%)$14.97
FY+3(+17.2%)$17.55
FY+4(+13.4%)$19.91
FY+5(+15.9%)$23.07

FCF per share

CAGR: 15.8%
FY+1FY+2FY+3FY+4
FY+1$17.52
FY+2(+32.8%)$23.26
FY+3(+62.9%)$37.90
FY+4(-28.3%)$27.18

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Historical Financials

Showing limited histrical data. Access 10+ years of financials now! Upgrade
YearlyQuarterly
Income
FY2005FY2006FY2007FY2008FY2009FY2010FY2011FY2012FY2013FY2014FY2015FY2016FY2017FY2018FY2019FY2020FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024
FY2005FY2006FY2007FY2008FY2009FY2010FY2011FY2012FY2013FY2014FY2015FY2016FY2017FY2018FY2019FY2020FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024TTM5Y avg5Y CAGR
Revenue143.01(B)168.09(B)198.27(B)211.91(B)245.12(B)261.80(B)193.28(B)14%
COGS46.08(B)52.23(B)62.65(B)65.86(B)74.11(B)80.09(B)60.19(B)13%
Gross Profit96.94(B)115.86(B)135.62(B)146.05(B)171.01(B)181.72(B)133.09(B)15%
Total OpEx.43.98(B)45.94(B)52.24(B)57.53(B)61.58(B)64.00(B)52.25(B)9%
  R&D19.27(B)20.72(B)24.51(B)27.20(B)29.51(B)31.17(B)24.24(B)11%
  SG&A24.71(B)25.22(B)27.73(B)30.33(B)32.06(B)32.83(B)28.01(B)7%
Operating Income52.96(B)69.92(B)83.38(B)88.52(B)109.43(B)117.71(B)80.84(B)20%
Interest Expense-2.59(B)-2.35(B)-2.06(B)-1.97(B)-2.94(B)-2.68(B)-2.38(B)3%
Interest Income2.68(B)2.13(B)2.09(B)2.99(B)3.16(B)2.54(B)2.61(B)4%
Pre-tax income53.04(B)71.10(B)83.72(B)89.31(B)107.79(B)113.61(B)80.99(B)19%
Income tax-8.76(B)-9.83(B)-10.98(B)-16.95(B)-19.65(B)-20.86(B)-13.23(B)22%
Net Income44.28(B)61.27(B)72.74(B)72.36(B)88.14(B)92.75(B)67.76(B)19%
Cash flow
FY2005FY2006FY2007FY2008FY2009FY2010FY2011FY2012FY2013FY2014FY2015FY2016FY2017FY2018FY2019FY2020FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024
FY2005FY2006FY2007FY2008FY2009FY2010FY2011FY2012FY2013FY2014FY2015FY2016FY2017FY2018FY2019FY2020FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024TTM5Y avg5Y CAGR
CFO60.67(B)76.74(B)89.03(B)87.58(B)118.55(B)125.58(B)86.52(B)18%
  Net Income44.28(B)61.27(B)72.74(B)72.36(B)88.14(B)92.75(B)67.76(B)19%
  D&A12.80(B)11.69(B)14.46(B)13.86(B)22.29(B)26.62(B)15.02(B)15%
  Stock-based Comp.5.29(B)6.12(B)7.50(B)9.61(B)10.73(B)11.32(B)7.85(B)19%
  FCF45.23(B)56.12(B)65.15(B)59.48(B)74.07(B)70.03(B)60.01(B)13%
CFF-46.03(B)-48.49(B)-58.88(B)-43.94(B)-37.76(B)-70.19(B)-47.02(B)-5%
  Stock Issued1.34(B)1.69(B)1.84(B)1.87(B)2.00(B)2.02(B)1.75(B)10%
  Stock Repurchased-22.97(B)-27.39(B)-32.70(B)-22.25(B)-17.25(B)-17.52(B)-24.51(B)-7%
  Debt Issued0.000.000.000.0029.64(B)6.55(B)5.93(B)N/A%
  Debt Repaid-5.52(B)-3.75(B)-9.02(B)-2.75(B)-29.07(B)-36.32(B)-10.02(B)52%
  Dividend Paid-15.14(B)-16.52(B)-18.14(B)-19.80(B)-21.77(B)-22.89(B)-18.27(B)10%
CFI-12.22(B)-27.58(B)-30.31(B)-22.68(B)-96.97(B)-54.86(B)-37.95(B)68%
  Acquisitions-2.52(B)-8.91(B)-22.04(B)-1.67(B)-69.13(B)-6.17(B)-20.85(B)129%
  Divestitures0.000.000.000.000.000.000.00N/A%
  Capital Expenditures-15.44(B)-20.62(B)-23.89(B)-28.11(B)-44.48(B)-55.55(B)-26.51(B)30%
Balance sheet
FY2005FY2006FY2007FY2008FY2009FY2010FY2011FY2012FY2013FY2014FY2015FY2016FY2017FY2018FY2019FY2020FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024
FY2005FY2006FY2007FY2008FY2009FY2010FY2011FY2012FY2013FY2014FY2015FY2016FY2017FY2018FY2019FY2020FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024TTM5Y avg5Y CAGR
Total Assets301.31(B)333.78(B)364.84(B)411.98(B)512.16(B)533.90(B)384.81(B)14%
  Current assets181.91(B)184.41(B)169.68(B)184.26(B)159.73(B)147.08(B)176.00(B)-3%
    Cash and Equivalents13.58(B)14.22(B)13.93(B)34.70(B)18.32(B)17.48(B)18.95(B)8%
    Short-term investments122.92(B)116.03(B)90.82(B)76.55(B)57.22(B)54.07(B)92.71(B)-17%
    Inventories1.90(B)2.64(B)3.74(B)2.50(B)1.25(B)909.00(M)2.40(B)-10%
    Receivables32.01(B)38.04(B)44.26(B)48.69(B)56.92(B)48.19(B)43.99(B)15%
  Non-current assets119.40(B)149.37(B)195.16(B)227.72(B)352.43(B)386.82(B)208.81(B)31%
    Net PP&E52.90(B)70.80(B)87.55(B)109.99(B)154.55(B)189.72(B)95.16(B)31%
    Goodwill43.35(B)49.71(B)67.52(B)67.89(B)119.22(B)119.19(B)69.54(B)29%
Total Liabilities183.01(B)191.79(B)198.30(B)205.75(B)243.69(B)231.20(B)204.51(B)7%
  Current liabilities72.31(B)88.66(B)95.08(B)104.15(B)125.29(B)108.88(B)97.10(B)15%
    Accounts payable12.53(B)15.16(B)19.00(B)18.09(B)22.00(B)22.61(B)17.36(B)15%
  Non-current liabilities110.70(B)103.13(B)103.22(B)101.60(B)118.40(B)122.32(B)107.41(B)2%
    Long-Term Debt59.58(B)50.07(B)47.03(B)41.99(B)42.69(B)39.72(B)48.27(B)-8%
Total Equity118.30(B)141.99(B)166.54(B)206.22(B)268.48(B)302.69(B)180.31(B)23%
Per share data
FY2015FY2016FY2017FY2018FY2019FY2020FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024
EPS (Basic)FCF/ShareDividend/ShareEPS (Diluted)Book value/ShareCash & ST inv./ShareDebt/Share
Ratios
FY2015FY2016FY2017FY2018FY2019FY2020FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024
P/EP/SEV/EarningsP/FCFP/BEV/FCFDebt/EquityPayout ratio
Margins
FY2015FY2016FY2017FY2018FY2019FY2020FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024
Net Income MarginOperating MarginGross MarginEBITDA MarginFCF Margin
Returns
FY2015FY2016FY2017FY2018FY2019FY2020FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024
ROICROAROCEROE
Shares outstanding
FY2015FY2016FY2017FY2018FY2019FY2020FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024
Shares (Basic)Shares (Diluted)
Market Cap.
FY2015FY2016FY2017FY2018FY2019FY2020FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024
Market Cap.

Calculators

Discounted Cash Flow

Forecast years
Terminal Growth Rate
Discount Rate
Free cash flow estimates:
Y+1 est.
Y+2 est.
0.00%
Y+3 est.
0.00%
Y+4 est.
0.00%
Y+5 est.
0.00%
Target price

Discounted Cash Flow (exit mult.)

Forecast years
Exit FCF Multiple
Discount Rate
Free cash flow estimates:
Y+1 est.
Y+2 est.
0.00%
Y+3 est.
0.00%
Y+4 est.
0.00%
Y+5 est.
0.00%
Target price

Future P/E valuation

Projection Years
Base Revenue
Revenue Growth Rate
Final Net Margin
Final P/E Ratio
Discount Rate
Target price

Dividend discount model

Annual Dividend
First Stage Length (Years)
First Stage Growth Rate
Final Growth Rate
Discount Rate
Target price

Graham formula

Earnings Per Share
Expected Growth Rate
Government Bond Rate
Target price

Dividend income

Investment Amount
Dividend Yield

Required investment

Dividend Yield
Yearly Payout
Quarterly Payout
Monthly Payout